Conflict
Environmental Change, Economic Growth, Migration, and Conflict
Environmental changes may bring about a variety of negative social, economic, and ultimately also political consequences. We are particularly interested in three such consequences: economic growth, migration, and political violence. Thus we examine whether and how environmental changes may influence economic performance and also human migration, and whether and how environmentally induced economic downturns and migration affect the risk of political violence. Empirically, this research uses global data and also survey data from several countries around the world such as Vietnam, Cambodia, Uganda, Nicaragua and Peru.
Vally Koubi
Thomas Bernauer
external pageGabriele Spilker
Tobias Böhmelt
external pageLena Schaffer
Selected Papers
Koubi, V., S. Stoll, and G. Spilker. (2016). Perceptions of environmental change and migration decisions. Climatic Change, 138(3-4). DOI: external page10.1007/s10584-016-1767-1
Koubi, V., T. Böhmelt, G. Spilker, and L. Schaffer. (2016). The role of environmental perceptions in migration decision-making: Evidence from both migrants and non-migrants in five developing countries. Population and Environment, 38(2). DOI: external page10.1007/s11111-016-0258-7
Koubi, V., G. Spilker, L. Schaffer, and T. Bernauer. 2016. Environmental stressors and migration: Evidence from Vietnam. World Development, 79: 197-210. DOI: external page10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.11.016
Koubi, V., G. Spilker, T. Böhmelt, and T. Bernauer. (2014). Do natural resources matter for inter– and intrastate armed conflict? Journal of Peace Research, 51(2): 227–243. DOI: external page10.1177/0022343313493455
Buhaug, H, J. Nordkvelle, T. Bernauer, T. Böhmelt, M. Brzoska, J.W. Busby, A. Ciccone, H. Fjelde, E. Gartzke, N.P. Gleditsch, J.A. Goldstone, H. Hegre, H. Holtermann, V. Koubi, J.S.A. Link, P.M. Link, P. Lujala, J. O’Loughlin, C. Raleigh, J. Scheffran, J.P. Schilling, T.G. Smith, O.M. Theisen, R.S.J. Tol, H. Urdal, and N. von Uexkull. (2014). One effect to rule them all? A comment on quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict. Climatic Change, 127(3-4): 391-398. DOI: external page10.1007/s10584-014-1266-1
Koubi, V., T. Bernauer, A. Kalbhenn, and G. Spilker. (2012). Climate variability, economic growth, and conflict. Journal of Peace Research, 49(1): 113-127. DOI: external page10.1177/0022343311427173
Bernauer, T., T. Böhmelt, and V. Koubi. (2012). Environmental changes and violent conflict. Environmental Research Letters, 7(1): 1–8. DOI: external page10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/015601
Bernauer, T. and T. Siegfried. (2012). Climate change and international water conflict in Central Asia. Journal of Peace Research, 49(1): 227–239. DOI: external page10.1177/0022343311425843